Efficient Temporal Point Processes via Monotone Alternating Splines
arXiv cs.LG4w4 min read
arXiv:2607.01752v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal point processes (TPPs) have widespread applications across various domains. Compared to modeling the conditional intensity of a TPP, modeling its cumulative conditional intensity function (CCIF) improves computational efficiency and eliminates numerical approximation errors. However, current CCIF parameterizations uniformly rely on Monotone Neural Networks (MNNs), which we identify as suffering from three structural deadlocks--convexity restrictions, saturation limits, and violations of CCIF modeling requirements--that fundamentally rest
