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Online Shift Detection and Conformal Adaptation for Deployed Safety Classifiers

arXiv stat.ML1mo4 min read

arXiv:2606.11949v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Safety classifiers deployed in production operate under a stationarity assumption that fails silently: when input distributions drift, accuracy degrades with no error signal until ground-truth labels arrive. We present an online monitor that detects distributional shift in classifier scores via a sliding-window KS statistic with empirically calibrated alarm thresholds. In a pre-registered factorial evaluation (4 classifiers $\times$ 5 shift conditions $\times$ 20 seeds $\times$ 2 window sizes; 800 cells), the monitor achieves 86.6% vali

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